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Nigeria’s economic and business highlights

Updates on economic resurgence, Dangote refinery, and shifts in the retail and RegTech sectors.

Welcome to 234Digest, where we deliver daily highlights of Nigeria's economy and business environment from Tuesday to Friday, with a deeper dive on Sundays. Even though I missed the editions on Friday and Sunday, I'm making up and filling the gap with this Monday newsletter on a sunny afternoon in the Nigerian capital. This transition from our previous weekly format allows us to provide you with snappy, timely insights. I'm Samuel Okocha, your curator and editor, eager to guide you through the day’s important stories.

Today’s briefs

Nigeria's central bank governor, Olayemi Cardoso, has set an ambitious target of $1 billion in monthly remittances from overseas citizens. This goal follows recent reforms that have already boosted inflows to $600 million in September, up from $250 million in April. The central bank's engagement with international money transfer operators and the introduction of new banking products have been pivotal in this upward trend.

In another notable development, Africa's largest refinery, the Dangote facility, has marked a significant milestone by shipping its first seaborne gasoline cargo. The 500,000-barrel shipment to Lagos signals the refinery's increasing operational capacity, with its crucial residue fluid catalytic cracker ramping up production. Once fully operational, the 650,000-barrel-a-day plant is expected to reshape West Africa's fuel market, potentially reducing dependence on European imports.

Meanwhile, South African grocery retailer Pick n Pay has announced its exit from Nigeria, planning to sell its 51% share in a joint venture. This move is part of the company's strategy to restructure its operations outside its home market, affecting its two stores in Nigeria established less than five years ago.

On the technological front, Nigeria's Regulatory Technology (RegTech) sector is experiencing rapid growth, with projections indicating a CAGR of 19.3% from 2024 to 2029. The industry is expected to expand from $161.27 million in 2023 to $507.18 million by 2029. This growth is driven by increased adoption across various sectors, particularly in banking and financial services, with advanced technologies like AI and blockchain playing crucial roles.

Deeper dive: Dangote refinery's first seaborne shipment

Driving the news: Nigeria's Dangote refinery, Africa's largest, shipped its first seaborne gasoline cargo. The 650,000-barrel-a-day refinery is set to reshape West Africa's fuel market.

Why it matters: The refinery's ramp-up could significantly reduce West Africa's dependence on European gasoline imports, potentially shaking up global fuel trade patterns and impacting European refiners.

By the numbers:

  • 650,000 barrels/day: Capacity of Dangote refinery

  • 500,000 barrels: First gasoline shipment to Lagos

The big picture: For Nigeria, a major oil producer that relies heavily on imported refined products, the Dangote refinery could be a game-changer. It aims to conserve foreign exchange, create jobs, and potentially lower domestic fuel prices.

Challenges: Can the refinery consistently operate at full capacity? Nigeria's track record with maintaining complex facilities is a concern for industry observers.

Zoom Out: As the refinery boosts output, Nigeria could become a regional fuel hub, altering economic dynamics in West Africa and potentially enhancing its regional influence. The Dangote refinery’s progress will be a crucial indicator of Nigeria’s industrial capabilities and its potential to leverage its natural resources for economic transformation.

What's next: The coming months will reveal if this ambitious project can deliver on its promises and transform the regional energy landscape.

Quote of the Day: "The greatest glory in living lies not in never falling, but in rising every time we fall." — Nelson Mandela

Photo of the day

Just outside Abuja, a block moulder sprays water on rows of concrete blocks. This scene captures Nigeria's grassroots economy, where small-scale industries support the construction boom beyond the capital. It highlights the vital economic activities that fuel urban development, showcasing the resilience of Nigeria's informal sector. Photographer: Samuel Okocha/234Digest

And that’s a wrap for today’s 234Digest. Wishing you a splendid week ahead! If you’re new here and find the insights and updates valuable, consider subscribing now to ensure you receive every edition in your inbox. Until tomorrow!